We head to Caulfield for this week’s mail.
A bit of an underwhelming card at Caulfield with one saving grace – Pride Of Jenni.
Not many would've expected her to turn up in a Listed Anniversary Vase with 61kg, giving her rivals a stack of weight under quality conditions.
That said, on official ratings she should be giving them more, and on her best Racing & Sports' ratings, she'd give them a belting, but she lives on the high wire, and has more often fallen than flown in recent times.
The first up win here when the opposition seemed disinterested in chasing still rated well and would win this but she dropped right out in the Australian Cup last time.
If she wasn't already, I think she's just become a sit back and watch proposition, and so for betting purposes we'll pass and instead head to Race 6.
Immediacy was saved from the Warrnambool Cup on Thursday to come here, a benchmark 100 over 2000m and it arguably looks more suitable for him third-up off a very strong win over the trip at Mornington.
The speed was on and he relished it, running a big time figure backed up by big late splits – fast on fast, and that typically means you're fast.
Slight new career peak rating and sets up beautifully here with Shinn on from barrier four. Deductions still to come with dual acceptors from the Bool so I'd be waiting until the market percentage works itself out and we should still be seeing around even money.
Found a second one tricky but have landed on Fleetwood in Race 5. If this were 1100m I'd be keener but on ability and profile I think he's got most of these covered, pulling up with issues after a strong fourth to Headwall (since multiple G1 and Quokka placed) in The Warra.
The start has been his issue but he jumped well to win a recent trial and if Ethan Brown is smart (which he is), he'll keep him wide and as far forward as possible to stay within striking distance of some fairly squibby types.
The Melbourne Mail
Bet of the day: Race 6 #3 Immediacy at $2.40
Also backing: Race 5 #3 Fleetwood at $4.80